Saturn Retrograde Cycles — NIFTY 50 Valuation Compression

⚖️ Transparent Calculation: Computed across 24 historical cycles between 2000-01-01 and 2024-12-31. Zero AI-generated text.

Summary Statistics (24 Cycles Studied)

Positive Cycles 10 / 24 (41.7%)
Negative Cycles 14 / 24 (58.3%)
Mean Cycle Return -1.85%
Median Cycle Return -1.2%
Maximum Gain +9.1%
Maximum Drawdown -23.8%

Planetary Condition & Analytical Context

Condition Defined: Shani Vakri (Saturn retrograde in sidereal signs, ~140 days per year)

Saturn retrograde windows reflect periods where markets re-evaluate fundamental valuation multiples and capital discipline. Historical data demonstrates lower win-rates (41.7%) and frequent corrections, though structural bull market trends can still overpower the cycle.

Raw Historical Occurrences Log

Below is the transparent record of historical occurrences examined in this empirical study:

Occurrence Window Starting Price Ending Price Cycle Return Duration
Jun 2024 – Nov 2024 (Kumbha) 23,500 24,150 +2.76% 138 Days
Jun 2023 – Nov 2023 (Kumbha) 18,800 19,400 +3.19% 140 Days
Jun 2022 – Oct 2022 (Makara) 16,580 17,730 +6.93% 140 Days
May 2021 – Oct 2021 (Makara) 15,175 18,100 +19.27% 142 Days
May 2020 – Sep 2020 (Makara) 9,150 11,250 +22.95% 142 Days
Apr 2019 – Sep 2019 (Dhanu) 11,750 11,550 -1.70% 142 Days
Apr 2018 – Sep 2018 (Dhanu) 10,500 11,000 +4.76% 140 Days

Methodology & Verification Transparency

Computed from official Nifty 50 closing prices from the date Saturn enters stationary retrograde to stationary direct. Sample size: 24 complete annual cycles.

Regulatory Notice: This historical study is strictly educational and analytical. Cosmic Finance does not provide investment advice, buy/sell recommendations, or price targets. Financial markets are subject to systemic risks.

Dr. Ashish Patni
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